Polymarket Trader

Antoia

0xf88e321a8c81448059d33f6d066e65ab08fadcee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $233.67
Realized PnL: $116.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $172.05
Potential payout: $203.61
Potential profit: $31.56
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $3.05

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $22.3
Potential payout: $22.52
Potential profit: $0.21
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $22.13
Potential payout: $22.32
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $10.29
Potential payout: $15.71
Potential profit: $5.42
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.71

LYON position

LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $6.88
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.03

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51

Yes position

Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91

Yes position

Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

No position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

No 97.7% 22.52 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 83% 203.61 shares
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

LYON 77% 6.88 shares
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?

Yes 94.1% 17 shares
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 98.6% 22.32 shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes 70% 15.71 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Yes 93% 129.03 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?

No 98.4% 24.39 shares
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Yes 88.7% 34.61 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

Yes 55% 25 shares
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Yes 40% 80 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 95% 107.37 shares