Polymarket Trader

xfgngthj

0xf88ed78cc4f450dc3f97c72e8ff3bffb67da6f5d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $133.6
Realized PnL: $27.31
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $98.9
Potential payout: $98.9
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $24.11
Potential payout: $32.15
Potential profit: $8.04
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.59
Potential payout: $10.59
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.42

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Yes position

Will no CEO be announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 91% 98.9 shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes 74.4% 32.15 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 89% 67.42 shares
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 98.6% 84.71 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 85% 10.59 shares
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 94.4% 84.71 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 91% 23.08 shares
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Yes 81% 26.74 shares
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Yes 86% 26.74 shares
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Yes 89.6% 22.33 shares
Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

No 97.7% 25.05 shares
Perena FDV above $600M one day after launch?

No 34.5% 10.96 shares