Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $1.12M
- Potential payout
- $5.66M
- Potential profit
- $4.53M
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.71M
Polymarket Trader
0xf8915fa27CdB6b455Fe0B94CB887a37934b65D36-1784274066475
0xf8915fa27cdb6b455fe0b94cb887a37934b65d36
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.77M
- Realized PnL
- $7.5K
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Current value
- $4.53M
- Potential payout
- $5.66M
- Potential profit
- $1.12M
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $1.71M
Yes position
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $112.73K
- Potential payout
- $113.02K
- Potential profit
- $282.54
- User PnL
- $56.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
N
No position
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.45
N
No position
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580.61
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.75
N
No position
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.31
N
No position
Argentina to score first vs. Spain?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.86
Yes position
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
N
No position
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.72
No position
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
N
No position
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.05
Y
Yes position
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
Yes position
Will King Felipe VI attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.73
No position
Ferrán Torres: 2+ goals
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
N
No position
Will "Yellow" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
N
No position
Will "SWIM" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes 99.7% 113,015.91 shares
- Will "SWIM" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?No 99.9% 155 shares
- Will "Yellow" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?No 99.9% 311 shares
- Will King Felipe VI attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?Yes 99.9% 914.14 shares
- Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?No 99.9% 100 shares