Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $765
- Potential payout
- $510K
- Potential profit
- $509.24K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.64K
Polymarket Trader
merelymaterial
0xf89214be3b3b5f2374d2ec85700c9b9ae1967f58
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.52K
- Realized PnL
- $149.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $2.75K
- Potential payout
- $220K
- Potential profit
- $217.25K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.65K
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $945
- Potential payout
- $210K
- Potential profit
- $209.06K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $525
- Potential payout
- $210K
- Potential profit
- $209.48K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$945
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $9.53K
- Potential payout
- $204.96K
- Potential profit
- $195.43K
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.54K
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$8.45K
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$5.35K
Yes position
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Yes position
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$3.5K
No position
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.87K
- Potential profit
- $9.87K
- User PnL
- -$3.45K
Tunisia position
Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.98K
- Potential profit
- $7.98K
- User PnL
- -$4.63K
No position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$1.86K
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.81K
- Potential profit
- $5.81K
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$1.7K
Morocco position
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$2.15K
No position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$1.9K
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$1.65K
Iraq position
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$1.68K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.33K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73K
Inter Milan position
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.46K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89K
No position
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71K
No position
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-25?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9K
Joshua position
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82K
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74K
No position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73K
Arsenal position
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madrid
Ends Mar 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41K
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1K
Machado Garry position
Machado Garry vs. Prates
Ends Apr 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75K
Oleksiejczuk position
UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. Oleksiejczuk
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33K
Thunder position
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12K
Page position
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
Fritz position
Australian Open Men's: Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritz
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04K
Yes position
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79K
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?
Ends Nov 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59K
No position
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?
Ends Apr 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55K
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
Yes position
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
No position
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-17?
Ends Apr 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
No position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
No position
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?
Ends Apr 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Tunisia 58% 7,979 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?No 31% 6,000 shares
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?Yes 11% 10,000 shares
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco 43% 5,000 shares
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Iraq 42% 4,000 shares
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.7% 300,000 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?No 48% 7,291.67 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?Yes 46% 5,000 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?No 44% 5,000 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?No 38% 5,000 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?No 56% 5,000 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-12?No 53% 5,000 shares