Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
onlyknowalittle
0xf894d31560102bebfbc78a2e06e438272e019cec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.79
- Realized PnL
- $91.69
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $620
- Potential profit
- $620
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $590
- Potential profit
- $590
- User PnL
- -$20.06
Yes position
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $12.6
- Potential payout
- $560
- Potential profit
- $547.4
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $191
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Yes position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $14.19
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $71.81
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$10.75
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.34
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.29
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes 3.1% 200 shares
- Kash Patel out by May 31?Yes 24% 100 shares
- Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 2% 560 shares
- James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 3.4% 590 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.8% 620 shares
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes 0.9% 30 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes 55% 60 shares
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes 94% 100 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 14.4% 75 shares
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes 29% 50 shares