Polymarket Trader

0xf89b...d0cd

0xf89bde8027922702cf917deb899db64c00acd0cd

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $345.25
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $198.77
Potential payout: $246.91
Potential profit: $48.15
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$1.23

No position

Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43.4%
Current value: $19.98
Potential payout: $46.04
Potential profit: $26.06
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$5.02

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 44.2%
Current value: $12.58
Potential payout: $28.49
Potential profit: $15.91
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $21.66
Potential payout: $21.66
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.66

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $17.24
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.24

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90.2%
Current value: $15.49
Potential payout: $17.18
Potential profit: $1.69
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $9.59
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $2.18
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $4.49
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $6.88
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $10.22
Potential payout: $11.14
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $3.66
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $5.33
Potential payout: $8.52
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on June 26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.49
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.9%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $2.28
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5.03
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.06
Potential payout: $4.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

No 59.8% 16.71 shares
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

No 49.4% 20.24 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 71% 14.08 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 89% 11.24 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 89.8% 11.14 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 77.1% 6.49 shares
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 85% 11.76 shares
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 95% 5.26 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 58.7% 8.52 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 81% 123.46 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 81% 123.46 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

No 58% 17.24 shares