No position
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $30.15
- Potential profit
- $26.98
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $1.47
Polymarket Trader
joeroganskick
0xf89ed1ca7ff1b10dba8f142ec25b21e9bd3fb571
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.29
- Realized PnL
- $134.98
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.75
- Potential profit
- $24.75
- User PnL
- -$5.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $11.12
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $41.46
No position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.88
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.55
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.97
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 3 Winner
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57
Aurora Gaming position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
Aurora Gaming position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Solary position
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Under position
Oxford United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Over position
Oxford United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Meta (META) close above $650 on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 5.6% 30.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?Yes 44% 11.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 27?Yes 24% 24.75 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 52.3% 214.45 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 33% 214.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 30?No 99.2% 72.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 30?No 94.9% 48.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 30?No 94.9% 13.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 30?No 94.9% 10.54 shares
- Kash Patel out by April 30?No 97.2% 64.19 shares
- Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?No 12.1% 63.43 shares
- Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?No 13.7% 63.43 shares