Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Current value
- $51.84
- Potential payout
- $282.49
- Potential profit
- $230.65
- Multiplier
- 5.45x
- User PnL
- $1.84
Polymarket Trader
0xF8a766cd5449b3c83b333E6B2464987e9b022653-1770220225691
0xf8a766cd5449b3c83b333e6b2464987e9b022653
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $163.45
- Realized PnL
- $81.07
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Current value
- $89.24
- Potential payout
- $231.48
- Potential profit
- $142.25
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $39.24
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $117.99
- Potential profit
- $116.99
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.32
- Potential profit
- $91.32
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $3.36
- Potential payout
- $73.07
- Potential profit
- $69.71
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- -$6.64
Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $35.58
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.12
N
No position
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $9.64
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $26.07
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
Ends Jan 19, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Current value
- $5.49
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $8.8
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$4.51
Y
Yes position
France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Will Uranium (USD/LBS) hit $105 (HIGH) by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.37
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Multiplier
- 5.83x
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.65
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.46
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-07?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-08?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No 28% 35.71 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.7% 97.4 shares
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score AND Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance33.1% 29.61 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Yes 46% 21.74 shares
- Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 1.9% 350 shares
- France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes 32% 5 shares
- France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?Yes 74% 13.51 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.6% 231.48 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.7% 282.49 shares
- Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Yes 70% 14.29 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No 25% 37.6 shares