No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $614.29
- Potential profit
- $614.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0xF8aA9023De7Fa2aFb608a86b8a6A8b1a6976007c-1769435376938
@_nikoqq
0xf8aa9023de7fa2afb608a86b8a6a8b1a6976007c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $143.47
- Realized PnL
- $286.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $143.47
- Potential payout
- $163.97
- Potential profit
- $20.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$6.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.13
Yes position
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.7
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.89
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Yes position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Yes 91.5% 163.97 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 3.5% 114.29 shares
- Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?Yes 66.8% 149.7 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No 12.9% 232.13 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No 83.8% 47.76 shares
- Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?Yes 75% 13.33 shares
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes 81% 22.22 shares
- Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes 85% 5.88 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?No 92.8% 5.15 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 26?Up 65% 23.08 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 93.5% 16.05 shares