Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $40.15
- Potential payout
- $291.97
- Potential profit
- $251.82
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Polymarket Trader
PloyLuna
0xf8b3c7097fd3f48f75ae17b0fdd97c2c3a443aa5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $323.39
- Realized PnL
- $89.43
- Win rate
- 47.4%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.17
- Potential profit
- $187.17
- User PnL
- -$35
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $120.91
- Potential payout
- $156.01
- Potential profit
- $35.1
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $20.91
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $118.83
- Potential payout
- $138.98
- Potential profit
- $20.15
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$3.47
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $42.28
- Potential payout
- $69.88
- Potential profit
- $27.6
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $59.99
- User PnL
- -$4.2
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $51.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.39
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $17.48
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- $16.62
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $9.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 97.1% 172.41 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 291.97 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 87% 172.41 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 64.1% 156.01 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 36% 50.38 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 70% 42.55 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 39.7% 50.38 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 18.7% 187.17 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 45.8% 80 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 57% 69.88 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 11.2% 117.64 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 17% 117.65 shares