0xF8C014eBA09CB108c36410816A97153E99736BeE-1780092226911

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.08
Potential profit: $271.08
User PnL: -$4.82

Yes position

Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Implied probability: 16.6%
Current value: $41.2
Potential payout: $248.96
Potential profit: $207.75
Multiplier: 6.04x
User PnL: $33.52

Yes position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $221.67
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $168.33
Potential profit: $168.08
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.75

No position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $80.33
Potential payout: $107.83
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $53.98

No position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $48.71
Potential payout: $96.46
Potential profit: $47.75
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $63.96
Potential payout: $89.45
Potential profit: $25.49
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.51
Potential profit: $71.51
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.92
Potential profit: $70.92
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.46
Potential profit: $58.46
User PnL: -$38

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $4.71
Potential payout: $44.64
Potential profit: $39.93
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.05
Potential profit: $40.05
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.36
Potential profit: $39.36
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $23.11
Potential payout: $27.85
Potential profit: $4.73
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $21.94
Potential profit: $17.69
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.25
Potential profit: $20.25
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $14.27
Potential payout: $16.88
Potential profit: $2.62
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.27

San Francisco Giants position

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $8.31
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.14

No position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.47

Yes position

Will Trump say "Cocaine" in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.85

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Trump say "New York" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

Cleveland Guardians position

Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.2

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?