Polymarket Trader

pumplings

0xf8cf8644f6cbbe682df2b90c23589934093e4bc8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.8
Realized PnL: $13.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.97
Potential profit: $16.97
User PnL: -$0.25

Tomic position

Dallas Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Bernard Tomic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.75
Potential profit: $8.75
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

No position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.41
Potential profit: $3.41
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$2

No position

Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.96
Potential payout: $2.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.94

No position

US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.55
Potential profit: $2.55
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Russia enter Khatnie by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the US strike 2 countries in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Martin Nowak out as Harvard professor by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $2.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

No position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1

No position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: -$1

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.72

No position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $1.59
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

Will Woody Allen be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Peter Attia out by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Trump strikes Iran during Big Game...?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?

No 98.7% 1.04 shares
EU dissolves before 2027?

No 96% 1.05 shares
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?

No 67% 1.49 shares
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?

No 65% 1.54 shares
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?

No 69% 1.45 shares
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?

No 78% 1.28 shares
Will Woody Allen be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

No 99.4% 20 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 21?

Yes 4% 25 shares
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

No 68% 1.47 shares
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 74% 1.35 shares
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

No 51% 1.96 shares
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?

No 31% 3.23 shares