Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.2%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $22.39
- Potential profit
- $17.65
- Multiplier
- 4.73x
- User PnL
- $1.74
Polymarket Trader
Luffy68
0xf8e1d2b69cf252392b07b5b7b2ca370ff6bf8710
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.53
- Realized PnL
- $19.11
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Future's "The Real Me" debut No.1 on Billboard 200?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.7
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $10.81
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.16
- Potential profit
- $8.16
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Kanye release Bully Deluxe by June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.48
- Potential profit
- $7.48
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $7.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.32
- Potential profit
- $7.32
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.53
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
No position
Will MrBeast get married by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $4.18
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $3.58
- Potential payout
- $3.64
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Hapoel Galil Elyon position
Ironi Ness Ziona vs. Hapoel Galil Elyon
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 10% 7.93 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes 3% 83.33 shares
- Will Future's "The Real Me" debut No.1 on Billboard 200?No 15% 20 shares
- Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreYes 41% 7.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETUp 58% 6.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETUp 26% 3.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp 60% 3.33 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.4% 22.39 shares
- Will MrBeast get married by December 31?No 38% 5.26 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 55% 3.64 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?No 13.5% 7.41 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 4.9% 20.41 shares