Yes position
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.52K
- Potential profit
- $4.52K
- User PnL
- -$73.46
Polymarket Trader
hkmp5
0xf8e353c97a6b43bda36acc4b25457e13e7775088
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $108.85
- Realized PnL
- $267.98
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$180.44
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- User PnL
- -$146.7
Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $54.8
- Potential payout
- $576.88
- Potential profit
- $522.08
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$75.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.98
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 0.7% 237.08 shares
- Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.1% 4,486.71 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 5.6% 267.16 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 7.2% 416.87 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?Yes 0.5% 1,061.21 shares
- Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 73% 137 shares
- Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 72% 141.79 shares
- Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?Yes 9.8% 305.07 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 19.5% 256.94 shares
- Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?Yes 13.6% 368.09 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes 13.9% 358.57 shares
- Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 65% 30.77 shares