.Bux

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.13
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $1.84
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $1.81
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $1.69
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 79.2%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $1.57
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $1.81
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 14?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET