sadfsafd

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.55
Potential profit: $145.55
User PnL: -$7.23

Yes position

Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.1
Potential profit: $141.1
User PnL: -$14.11

Yes position

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.59
Potential profit: $117.59
User PnL: -$14.11

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.93
Potential profit: $109.93
User PnL: -$14.98

Yes position

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.44
Potential profit: $104.44
User PnL: -$18.8

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$42

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.34

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Yolanda Flowers win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.3
Potential profit: $97.3
User PnL: -$6.81

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.6
Potential profit: $88.6
User PnL: -$8.01

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.96
Potential profit: $85.96
User PnL: -$12.03

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.54
Potential profit: $85.54
User PnL: -$6.31

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.76
Potential profit: $78.76
User PnL: -$3.93

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Pacific Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.78
Potential profit: $67.78
User PnL: -$4.07

Yes position

Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.25
Potential profit: $55.25
User PnL: -$12.11

Yes position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.8
Potential profit: $51.8
User PnL: -$7.25

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.77
Potential profit: $48.77
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.4
Potential profit: $47.4
User PnL: -$9.48

Yes position

Will Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.34
Potential profit: $46.34
User PnL: -$12.51

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.16
Potential profit: $44.16
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.23
Potential profit: $43.23
User PnL: -$7.35

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.82
Potential profit: $37.82
User PnL: -$2.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US bank failure by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 16?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

No position

Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.02

Yes position

Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.61

No position

Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.13

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.48

No position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.26

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 66.6%
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $13.3

Yes position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $12

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.52

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.26

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.72

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $9.34

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.08

Yes position

Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.27

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.87

Yes position

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.97

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?