Polymarket Trader

BigLoser

0xf904b7eb4ad962bdb4bc907cfb7b1b913bce85ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.17
Realized PnL: $9.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $44.25
Potential payout: $284.57
Potential profit: $240.32
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $97.84
Potential profit: $96.37
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.45
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$4.55

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.8
Potential profit: $64.8
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?

Ends May 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $969.06

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $817.16

Yes position

Will Trump say "Melania" on The Joe Rogan Experience?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $760.17

No position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $747.68

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $619.27

Yes position

Will Trump post on X again before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.55

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $414.8

Yes position

Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.13

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.2

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.11

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.33

No position

Lily Phillips has sex with 1000+ men in a day?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.94

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.27

No position

Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.95

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.22

Boy position

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.38

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $183.33

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.91

Yes position

Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.74

Yes position

Will Ross Ulbricht say "Satoshi" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Will Barcelona win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Over 34% 44.12 shares
Luis Díaz: 1+ goals

Yes 24% 62.5 shares
Luis Díaz: 1+ assists

Yes 23.2% 12.92 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 77% 46.87 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Over 41% 24.24 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.4% 66.74 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Over 61% 100.11 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score

Yes 52% 96.15 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Switzerland 39% 64.1 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 4.8% 150 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Yes 2% 27.77 shares
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Yes 99% 100 shares