Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
tomateman
0xf90d8795f99dc608efe962b43f1e295655118642
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.78K
- Realized PnL
- $992.79
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $535.78
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $298.26
Yes position
Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 23?
Ends Jul 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Khalil Mobasher Kashani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Saeed Jalili be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $439
- Potential profit
- $438.34
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $405
- Potential profit
- $405
- User PnL
- -$3.24
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $340
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $340
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $310.34
- Potential profit
- $310.34
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Next French confidence vote passes?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $288.73
- Potential profit
- $288.73
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spain join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $279.36
- Potential profit
- $279.36
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
X and Truth Social merger announced before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 17-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $169
- Potential profit
- $168.75
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.02
- Potential profit
- $168.02
- User PnL
- -$23.52
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132
- Potential profit
- $132
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$2.73
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129
- Potential profit
- $129
- User PnL
- -$85.14
No position
Spain snap election called in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $83.54
- Potential payout
- $116.03
- Potential profit
- $32.49
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575.62
No position
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.41
Yes position
Will Partido Popular win 25-27 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.58
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.07
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.18
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.94
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.49
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
Yes position
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.14
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Pope Leo visit Peru first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will Mustafa Hijri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Tom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.9% 310.34 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No 74.6% 723.43 shares
- Spain snap election called in 2026?No 71% 56.32 shares
- Spain snap election called in 2026?No 76% 59.71 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes 3.8% 1,202.3 shares
- Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.3% 439 shares
- Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.3% 169 shares
- Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No 83% 135 shares
- Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No 82% 190 shares
- Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No 81% 28.06 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 59% 40 shares
- Will Reza Pirzadeh be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 0.2% 70 shares