Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $7.86K
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $3.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$2.26K
Polymarket Trader
december
0xf910cc50ec0ceecb18a24dee5b9606b5ffa87467
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.96K
- Realized PnL
- $38.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $9.1K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $900
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $544.51
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$214.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $926.41
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $798.19
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $763.96
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700.06
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.2
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $649.69
Yes position
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $637.6
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.48
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.51
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550.13
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 17-23?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 84% 5,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 85% 10,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 5,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.3% 5,000 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 20% 4,363.36 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 23% 474.65 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 99.8% 10,000 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No 99.8% 6,999.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 99.9% 5,299.63 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 99.8% 6,000 shares