Yes position
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $438.49
- Potential profit
- $438.49
- User PnL
- -$169.15
Polymarket Trader
troublemake
0xf9240714781ae41cc8625654bb00b47b3e8b435b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $350.42
- Realized PnL
- $3.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $386
- Potential profit
- $386
- User PnL
- -$0.97
No position
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.04
- Potential profit
- $300.04
- User PnL
- -$283.62
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$2.7
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $184.27
- Potential payout
- $195
- Potential profit
- $10.73
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $10.72
No position
US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $175
- User PnL
- -$124.25
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$16.15
No position
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Palantir dip to $150 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$137.7
No position
Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125.48
- Potential profit
- $125.48
- User PnL
- -$7.04
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.11
- Potential profit
- $121.11
- User PnL
- -$2.9
No position
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.36
- Potential profit
- $119.36
- User PnL
- -$53.71
Yes position
Will Amazon dip to $156 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.87
- Potential profit
- $110.87
- User PnL
- -$3.77
Yes position
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.48
- Potential profit
- $106.48
- User PnL
- -$85.12
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $102.69
- Potential profit
- $94.99
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$11.81
Yes position
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.98
- Potential profit
- $97.98
- User PnL
- -$45.07
Yes position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.58
- Potential profit
- $77.58
- User PnL
- -$7.68
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $75.45
- Potential payout
- $75.45
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $20.37
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69
- Potential profit
- $69
- User PnL
- -$12.42
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.42
- Potential profit
- $64.42
- User PnL
- -$59.85
No position
Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $50.99
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $2.01
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.29
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $32
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $18
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $510.68
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $498.4
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $328.95
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $268.99
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $206.46
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $169.9
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $147.4
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $141.32
No position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $122.95
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.82
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.4
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.96
No position
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.55
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.31
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.36
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.21
No position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.6
Yes position
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.23
Yes position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.5
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.49
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.29
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.44
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.38
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes 77% 1.12 shares
- Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during the State of the Union address?Yes 46% 4.83 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown end between February 24-27, 2026?Yes 1.1% 200 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No 76% 20 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 88.7% 164.13 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No 47% 1.1 shares
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?No 49% 3.5 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes 30% 20 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?No 52% 100 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?Yes 48% 20 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 46% 30 shares
- Will Tim Skelton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?Yes 36% 7.12 shares