Polymarket Trader

nedsta

0xf92a950992181e21874dd1b36c7e5666c443a517

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $112.23K
Realized PnL: $70.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $21.57K
Potential payout: $21.71K
Potential profit: $141.1
User PnL: $766.98

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $18.44K
Potential payout: $18.5K
Potential profit: $64.75
User PnL: $980.28

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $10.81K
Potential payout: $11.95K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.54K

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $10.21K
Potential payout: $10.25K
Potential profit: $40.99
User PnL: $226.89

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $9.19K
Potential payout: $9.88K
Potential profit: $691.48
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $974.93

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.05K
Potential profit: $9.05K
User PnL: -$8.88K

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $5.37K
Potential payout: $5.38K
Potential profit: $18.85
User PnL: $142.92

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.38K
Potential profit: $5.38K
User PnL: -$4.95K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $4.95K
Potential payout: $4.96K
Potential profit: $14.89
User PnL: $105.43

No position

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $3.88K
Potential payout: $4.43K
Potential profit: $553.96
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $110.79

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $4.28K
Potential payout: $4.37K
Potential profit: $91.83
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $214.27

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $3.26K
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $34.63
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $79.93

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $3.1K
Potential payout: $3.11K
Potential profit: $18.68
User PnL: $228.94

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $2.99K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$418.05

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $2.85K
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $49.25
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $10.36

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $2.07K
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $709.8
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $18.06

No position

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: $33.34

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $1.77K
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $207.36
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $111.06

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.77K
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $15.18
User PnL: $37.08

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $12.72
User PnL: $11.92

No position

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $116.41
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $215.4

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $33.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.53

No position

Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $757.09
Potential payout: $759.75
Potential profit: $2.66
User PnL: $336.24

No position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $628
Potential payout: $637.89
Potential profit: $9.89
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $109

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.98K

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5K

No position

Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39K

Yes position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31K

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69K

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15K

No position

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Yes position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

No position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Yes position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

No position

Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

No position

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

No 94% 352.29 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?

No 80% 77.65 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?

No 97.3% 625 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?

No 98.1% 314.08 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

No 53% 160 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?

No 98% 116.05 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?

No 96.8% 764 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?

No 95.3% 391.63 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

No 96.9% 1,057.4 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

No 62% 119.93 shares
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 75% 500 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

No 93% 73.97 shares