No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $23.02
- Potential payout
- $102.3
- Potential profit
- $79.28
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $1.53
Polymarket Trader
0xf92c...6515
0xf92c4bb76f577ffe08a89fdf5e6857b36dc96515
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $80.1
- Realized PnL
- $18.51
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $15.05
- Potential payout
- $59.12
- Potential profit
- $44.07
- Multiplier
- 3.93x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $37.51
- Potential payout
- $43.87
- Potential profit
- $6.36
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $23.78
- Potential profit
- $23.22
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $6.73
- Multiplier
- 5.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.37
- Potential payout
- $2.74
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.35
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.3%
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 26.4% 57.85 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 96.3% 19.06 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.1% 74.78 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 11.6% 30.59 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 95.3% 50.31 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 97% 185.37 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 22.8% 59.53 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 23.6% 60.8 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 95.5% 22.13 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 3.6% 72.29 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 21% 159 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.2% 93.13 shares