No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $33.21
- Potential payout
- $35.28
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Polymarket Trader
SuperUltraMario
0xf9322e59a20bbcae29cfd716e651b8a9b386e235
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.31
- Realized PnL
- $48.39
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $15.04
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Y
Yes position
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- $34.15
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 37% 5 shares
- Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.4% 28 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.7% 44 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.7% 76.92 shares
- Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 71% 1.41 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94% 19.99 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.6% 5.29 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 18 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 44 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 10 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 125 shares