Yes position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $229.06
- Potential payout
- $238.48
- Potential profit
- $9.42
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $40.52
Polymarket Trader
unresolved
0xf9347f3ddfaa74613ad58ee83fc30bee9ffa11a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $369.8
- Realized PnL
- $276.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $15.04
- Potential payout
- $158.33
- Potential profit
- $143.29
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$14.91
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $88.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $25.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$23.7
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $17.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.7
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $6.72
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.66
90k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.16
Yes position
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
Over position
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.9
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
Yes position
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
Yes position
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.54
Yes position
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Over position
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tax" or "Tariff" 10+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No 60% 30 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 79% 30 shares
- Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes 67.7% 20 shares
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?Yes 57% 10 shares
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?Yes 84% 20 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 5.8% 100 shares
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?Yes 3.4% 40 shares
- Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No 2.5% 200 shares
- Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Yes 12% 83.33 shares
- Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No 57% 10 shares
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-11?Yes 36% 13.62 shares
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?No 53% 20 shares