Aman8808

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $46.67
Potential payout: $13.33K
Potential profit: $13.29K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $5.59

Yes position

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.67K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.94K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will BRION win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $631.33
Potential profit: $629.12
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $491.67
Potential profit: $491.67
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.6
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.16
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $12.25
Potential payout: $322.36
Potential profit: $310.11
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$8.04

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $13.3
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $11.49
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.59
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $2.92
Multiplier: 5.10x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $2.77
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.64

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.4%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $1.38
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.66

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Tatjana Maria position

Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Dominika Salkova vs Tatjana Maria

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Pedro Sakamoto position

Santa Cruz: Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Sakamoto

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

No position

Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.9

Over position

Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Beibit Zhukayev position

Busan: Ui-Sung Park vs Beibit Zhukayev

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

Flyers position

Canadiens vs. Flyers

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Yes position

Will Jan-Lennard Struff win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.71

Alex Molcan position

BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Under position

Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Texas Rangers position

Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Lorenzo Sonego position

Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.89

Panthers position

Red Wings vs. Panthers

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Under position

New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Garrett Johns position

Tallahassee: Colton Smith vs Garrett Johns

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna position

Santa Cruz: Eric Vanshelboim vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.41

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Fabian Marozsan position

BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipas