Polymarket Trader

thecomplicatedguy

0xf95846967c9093e4881506162077ec8f7049db13

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.25K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95K
Potential profit: $95K
User PnL: -$19.95K

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $69.9K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.8K

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $55K
Potential profit: $54.97K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$962.5

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.18K
Potential profit: $29.18K
User PnL: -$16.74K

Yes position

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $10.44K
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$2.64K

Over position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $550
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.45K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$4.85K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$3.3K

Over position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $10.19
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$989.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Yes 35% 12,000 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?

Yes 1.8% 55,000 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?

Yes 7% 70,000 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Over 54% 1,851.85 shares
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Yes 33% 6,769.12 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 64.9% 6,125 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 63% 200 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 62% 2,100 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 59% 125.2 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Yes 21% 68,864.3 shares

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