Polymarket Trader

968b2

0xf968b20c0a62d3dccd6a0a648c5205690c3584bd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.01K
Realized PnL: $3.9K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$51.46

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.16K
User PnL: -$184.66

Yes position

Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$32.28

Yes position

Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.54
Potential profit: $428.54
User PnL: -$33.9

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $113.96
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $286.04
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $41.96

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $41
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $359
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $82.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $317.4
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $49.4

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $44.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $355.4
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$18.2

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $23
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $377
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$15.4

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $20.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $379.8
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $258
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $142
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $15.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $384.6
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $23.8
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $376.19
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$8.6

No position

Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $356.73
Potential payout: $387.75
Potential profit: $31.02
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $15.51

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$49.35

Yes position

Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.7
Potential profit: $277.7
User PnL: -$5.08

Yes position

Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.13
Potential profit: $102.13
User PnL: -$6.13

Yes position

Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$38

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$13.2

Yes position

Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $27.15
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430.9

Yes position

Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.91

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.2

Yes position

Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.4

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

Yes position

Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.5

No position

Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.23

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.85

No position

Will Innsbruck host Eurovision 2026?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

Yes position

Will PAS win a majority of seats in Moldova elections?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.51

Yes position

Will Atvara win Supernova 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.17

Yes position

Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.8

No position

Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.86

No position

Will Patriotic Electoral Bloc (BEP) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.3

No position

Will Graz host Eurovision 2026?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.92

No position

Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

Yes position

Will Portugal qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.38

Yes position

Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.75

No position

Will Our Party (PN) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.83

Yes position

Will Israel be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.6

No position

Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.8

No position

Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Yes position

Will Søren Torpegaard win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

Yes 0.1% 90 shares
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

No 0.1% 199.99 shares
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 0.3% 0.84 shares
Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 23.9% 206.18 shares
Will Søren Torpegaard win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?

Yes 95.9% 625.66 shares
Will Akylas win Sing for Greece 2026?

Yes 99.7% 200.55 shares
Will Akylas win Sing for Greece 2026?

Yes 99.5% 100.52 shares
Will Akylas win Sing for Greece 2026?

Yes 99.2% 100.77 shares
Will Akylas win Sing for Greece 2026?

Yes 99.3% 302.18 shares
Will Vanilla Ninja win Eesti Laul 2026?

Yes 82% 121.93 shares
Will Dinamiss win Sing for Greece 2026?

No 99% 191.91 shares
Will Dinamiss win Sing for Greece 2026?

No 99.7% 501.5 shares