Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $90
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.91K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0xf96f03ba1d71026856050D3B6a92Ad9A13aa1f5C-1768251706052
0xf96f03ba1d71026856050d3b6a92ad9a13aa1f5c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.36K
- Realized PnL
- $2.66K
- Win rate
- 92.9%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $738.48
- Potential payout
- $5.47K
- Potential profit
- $4.73K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$581.5
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $296.1
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $963.89
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $251.77
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $775.87
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$128.73
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $266.94
- Potential payout
- $721.47
- Potential profit
- $454.52
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $66.94
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$35.7
Gauff position
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$289
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$108
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $567.05
- Potential profit
- $567.05
- User PnL
- -$298.25
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $195.7
- Potential payout
- $434.89
- Potential profit
- $239.19
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.3
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$255.6
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $198.44
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $114.06
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312
- Potential profit
- $312
- User PnL
- -$200
Anthropic position
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $213.35
- Potential payout
- $273.53
- Potential profit
- $60.18
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $27.35
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258.59
- Potential profit
- $258.59
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.19
- Potential profit
- $199.19
- User PnL
- -$28.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.17
- Potential profit
- $148.17
- User PnL
- -$50.38
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $105.49
- Potential payout
- $106.61
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $8.48
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.73
- Potential profit
- $104.73
- User PnL
- -$49.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.51
- Potential profit
- $98.51
- User PnL
- -$56.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.44
- Potential profit
- $98.44
- User PnL
- -$49.22
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 1PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.02
- Potential profit
- $97.02
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.17
- Potential profit
- $54.17
- User PnL
- -$23.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.73
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
No position
Will Tesla reach $495 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.5
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will Tesla reach $465 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Austria position
Spread: Austria (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 312.5 shares
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 20,000 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 15.3% 981.28 shares
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Austria 50% 400 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes 46% 434.89 shares
- Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic 68% 273.53 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?No 23.8% 1,259.99 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Yes 27.7% 721.47 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 18.5% 1,352.61 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 22% 1,136.36 shares
- Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 38.7% 258.59 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 64.1% 312 shares