Polymarket Trader

carshoe

0xf977242e5e73414fdcb3de2a6ac2ba92fcad1690

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $817.46
Realized PnL: $5.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $446.31
Potential payout: $551
Potential profit: $104.69
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $60.61

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $160.23
Potential payout: $493
Potential profit: $332.78
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$22.19

Yes position

Rippling IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $17.82
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $114.18
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$5.94

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $128.9
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $1.1
User PnL: $37.9

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $20.44
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $46.57
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$35.18

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $40.19
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $6.81
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $3.59
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Alabama Crimson Tide position

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612.83

Yes position

Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $573.12

Yes position

Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $459.9

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $421.2

Yes position

Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.7

Yes position

Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.2

Yes position

Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.95

No position

Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" during events with Rutte?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.02

Yes position

Will "Dude" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.62

Under position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.25

No position

Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 29, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.68

Yes position

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.61x
User PnL: $83.43

Yes position

Will Liberal Alliance win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.2

Yes position

Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 54%
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $45.1

Yes position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.05

No position

Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $600M and $650M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.96

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37

No position

Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.92

No position

Joe Kent charged by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.88

No position

Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.06

No position

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $17.48

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?

No 38% 1,971 shares
Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?

No 22% 835 shares
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 80% 69 shares
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 80% 498 shares
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?

No 88% 253 shares
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?

No 89% 253 shares
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 83% 32 shares
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 13% 7 shares
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 13% 33 shares
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

No 13% 6 shares
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

No 47% 349 shares
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 80% 7 shares