No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $915
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $55
Polymarket Trader
Cherrypicking
0xf9810255f05a03517003845a93c1b6072815986f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.14K
- Realized PnL
- $183.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $942.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $57.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $283.5
- Potential payout
- $324
- Potential profit
- $40.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$11.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.55
Legacy position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.2
Team Yandex position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.16
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.25
No position
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.57
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Legacy position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Vici Gaming position
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming 64% 7.81 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy 52% 52.5 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Legacy 20% 26.66 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Legacy 15% 26.67 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy 40% 52.5 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 99.9% 1,910.69 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 99.8% 1,910.69 shares
- Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?No 92.7% 215.71 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?Yes 89.4% 146.6 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 91% 21.98 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No 91% 109.89 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No 91% 43.96 shares