Polymarket Trader

aadvark

0xf98b622967de1bfc84585ea7abdf1f9199a3bfc5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $512.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $230 on October 8?

Ends Oct 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.03K
Potential profit: $6.03K
User PnL: -$2.43K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,800 and $3,900 on October 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$1.1K

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.99K
Potential profit: $5.99K
User PnL: -$1.58K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.99K
Potential profit: $5.99K
User PnL: -$2.69K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.92K
Potential profit: $5.92K
User PnL: -$202.94

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 19?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.9K
Potential profit: $5.9K
User PnL: -$4.74K

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.84K
Potential profit: $5.84K
User PnL: -$541.59

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on October 22?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.81K
Potential profit: $5.81K
User PnL: -$249.87

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.79K
Potential profit: $5.79K
User PnL: -$835.5

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.79K
Potential profit: $5.79K
User PnL: -$53.47

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.78K
Potential profit: $5.78K
User PnL: -$1.53K

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $2.30 and $2.40 on October 27?

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.77K
Potential profit: $5.77K
User PnL: -$494.35

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.74K
Potential profit: $5.74K
User PnL: -$778.61

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.72K
Potential profit: $5.72K
User PnL: -$510.93

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.68K
Potential profit: $5.68K
User PnL: -$170.35

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.70 on October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.65K
Potential profit: $5.65K
User PnL: -$365.96

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on September 14?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.64K
Potential profit: $5.64K
User PnL: -$425.9

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 23?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.52K
Potential profit: $5.52K
User PnL: -$159.45

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $240 on October 4?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$527.08

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.80 on October 3?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$261.24

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $112,000 on October 14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $5.47K
User PnL: -$2.26K

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $5.47K
User PnL: -$163.95

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43K
Potential profit: $5.43K
User PnL: -$3.54K

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.35K
Potential profit: $5.35K
User PnL: -$621.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.06K

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.76K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.4K

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.48K

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5K

No position

Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.21K

Yes position

Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?

Ends Dec 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.01K

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.84K

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.25K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.07K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.92K

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $150 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.4K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.17K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.88K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.66K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.67K

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.52K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 29-October 5?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.06K

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.71K

No position

Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?

Ends Dec 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29K

Yes position

Will Solana reach $240 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.11K

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $175 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04K

No position

Will the price of Solana be above $230 on October 4?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.98K

No position

Will 538 correctly call the Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.22K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 86% 30,000 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 77% 7,121.77 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

No 99% 24,689.33 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 75% 3,665 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 74% 3,214.32 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 74% 8,793.19 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

No 98.9% 51,946.89 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

No 82% 166.32 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?

Yes 4.6% 750 shares
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

No 99.1% 16,526.6 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

No 90% 56,636.31 shares
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

No 99.5% 15,176.22 shares