Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $14.79K
- Potential profit
- $13.41K
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- -$119.62
Polymarket Trader
girthpigeon
0xf99e92e3a71784a45c977f8035dd17f97fac9fcb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.36K
- Realized PnL
- $634.03
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.01K
- Potential profit
- $5.01K
- User PnL
- -$4.01K
Yes position
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$514.79
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $977.5
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$57.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $976.37
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Original Score – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.94
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.64
Yes position
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.6
Yes position
Will Trump claim the debate was "rigged"?
Ends Sep 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.8
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.69
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.1
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Nevada rally?
Ends Sep 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Travis Kelce endorse Kamala Harris?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.39
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58.3
Yes position
Will Caitlin Clark endorse Kamala Harris?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$67.5
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$156
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$162
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$202.25
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the World Series?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$293.7
Yes position
Will Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$350
Yes position
Will Trump say "dog" during his Nevada rally?
Ends Sep 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$395.73
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?Yes 9.9% 54.86 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes 20% 5,000 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 45% 234 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 44% 2,000 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 46.9% 2,000 shares
- Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 99.9% 5 shares
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 99.9% 2,500 shares
- Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 60.8% 1,175.25 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 9.5% 1,111.89 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 9.4% 2,336.74 shares
- Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?Yes 80% 9.34 shares