Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $27.79
- Potential payout
- $427.48
- Potential profit
- $399.69
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$27.21
Polymarket Trader
0xF9b4420ee6376D77AE7e5CB6DEdcfFDBEDfC0c6C-1724099033254
0xf9b4420ee6376d77ae7e5cb6dedcffdbedfc0c6c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.79
- Realized PnL
- $2.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $21.65
- Potential payout
- $393.69
- Potential profit
- $372.04
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$77.17
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.76
- Potential profit
- $46.76
- User PnL
- -$4.68
Yes position
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.35
- Potential payout
- $15.35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.46
Yes position
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.36
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.88
Yes position
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?
Ends Feb 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.93
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.1
Yes position
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.04
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.77
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.86
Yes position
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.82
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.84
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.48
No position
Will 538 correctly call the Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.45
Yes position
Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.14
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "Ukraine" during DNC speech?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.29
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.13
No position
Daniel Penny found guilty?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.54
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Lakers
Ends May 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.47
Yes position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
No position
Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78
No position
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
Yes position
Will Trump nominate RFK Jr. for HHS Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?Yes 10% 43.52 shares
- Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?No 88.5% 27 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 26.32 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 58% 17.24 shares
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 4.9% 102.98 shares
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes 10.2% 90.5 shares
- Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 53% 18.87 shares
- Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 13% 19.23 shares
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 4.7% 159.57 shares
- Villanova Wildcats vs. St. John's Red StormVillanova Wildcats 26% 29.72 shares
- Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?Yes 65.1% 15.35 shares
- Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 53% 9.43 shares