Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $61.87K
- Potential profit
- $60.47K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $711.46
Polymarket Trader
siick
0xf9b71663d723d28fa455db659098e1dacde860a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.89K
- Realized PnL
- $78.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.35K
- Potential profit
- $38.35K
- User PnL
- -$5.58K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $23.38K
- Potential profit
- $21.72K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $653.91
No position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.86K
- Potential profit
- $22.86K
- User PnL
- -$972.83
Yes position
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $170
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.83K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $488.9
- Potential payout
- $17.15K
- Potential profit
- $16.67K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$151.56
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.27K
- Potential profit
- $16.27K
- User PnL
- -$2.4K
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $12.76K
- Potential payout
- $14.83K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.31K
- Potential profit
- $14.31K
- User PnL
- -$1.98K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.71K
- Potential profit
- $13.71K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.12K
- Potential profit
- $13.12K
- User PnL
- -$858.43
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.2%
- Current value
- $3.9K
- Potential payout
- $11.76K
- Potential profit
- $7.86K
- Multiplier
- 3.02x
- User PnL
- -$212.1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.1K
- Potential profit
- $10.1K
- User PnL
- -$121.2
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$160
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$3.35K
Yes position
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.42K
- Potential profit
- $9.42K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.23K
- Potential profit
- $9.23K
- User PnL
- -$196.82
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $127.31
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.65K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.96K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.5K
- Potential profit
- $8.5K
- User PnL
- -$243.99
No position
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $6.82K
- Potential payout
- $8.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $44.56
- Potential payout
- $8.1K
- Potential profit
- $8.06K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$791.52
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.8K
- Potential profit
- $7.8K
- User PnL
- -$786.36
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $5.53K
- Potential payout
- $7.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $551.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27K
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28K
Golden Knights position
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72K
No position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.62K
Green position
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94K
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
Yes position
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $2.59K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
Golden Knights position
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
Strickland position
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 88.2% 1,910.2 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 84% 500 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 83.9% 664.26 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 84.6% 211.9 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 87.8% 200 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 46.3% 219.06 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 33.4% 1,720.75 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes 58% 205 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?No 47.6% 163.54 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 35% 1,500 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 16% 3,000 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 99.9% 5,688.69 shares