Tsc12

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $144.29
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.71K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $44.29

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $75.96
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$24.04

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $77.7
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$22.3

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $65.7
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$34.3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $239.66
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $909.77
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: $139.66

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $92.34
Potential payout: $900.9
Potential profit: $808.56
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$7.66

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $486.13
Potential payout: $661.4
Potential profit: $175.27
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$13.87

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $72.22
Potential payout: $653.59
Potential profit: $581.37
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: -$27.78

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $142.12
Potential payout: $606.06
Potential profit: $463.94
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $42.12

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $370.33
Potential payout: $433.14
Potential profit: $62.81
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$2.17

No position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $114.77
Potential payout: $433.08
Potential profit: $318.31
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $4.77

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $308.39
Potential payout: $397.92
Potential profit: $89.53
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $83.52
Potential payout: $388.46
Potential profit: $304.94
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$16.48

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $243
Potential payout: $335.18
Potential profit: $92.17
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$5.03

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330.98
Potential profit: $330.98
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $123.69
Potential payout: $329.84
Potential profit: $206.15
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $23.69

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $201.54
Potential payout: $307.69
Potential profit: $106.15
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $68.18
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $234.85
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$31.82

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $53.41
Potential payout: $288.72
Potential profit: $235.31
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.08
Potential profit: $258.08
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $28.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $221.25
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $241.59
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $2.32
User PnL: $41.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

Harriet Dart position

HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.08

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.95

Ann Li position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhang

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.36

Nigma Galaxy position

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.7

Yes position

Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.3

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.95

Yes position

Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.2

No position

Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.93

No position

Will BuzzFeed (BZFD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.47

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.27

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.94

Yes position

Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.81

No position

Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.88

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.12

9z position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.91

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?