Polymarket Trader

0x1014dc2a9d50d4590d903d808063f88e64519e24

0xf9d969bd75d0ee5e76acb2102a9bbc0efb431ff9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $111.69
Realized PnL: $2.47K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $637.11
Potential profit: $637.11
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $13.59
Potential payout: $372.29
Potential profit: $358.7
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$86.41

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.47
Potential profit: $294.47
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$120

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.55
Potential profit: $207.55
User PnL: -$110

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $98.1
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $81.9
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$2.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.78

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.19

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $255.84

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.43

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.33

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.7

Yes position

Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.37

Yes position

Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.51

Yes position

Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.22

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.91

Yes position

Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.26

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

Yes position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.06

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 0.6% 625 shares
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 0.3% 340 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 53% 207.55 shares
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 18.8% 637.11 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 42% 285.71 shares
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 12.2% 40.98 shares
Will Sirāt win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 3.4% 293.92 shares
Will Sirāt win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 1.4% 360.99 shares
Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 2.4% 413.03 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 11.1% 170.97 shares
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Yes 84.9% 125 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 50% 96.17 shares