Polymarket Trader

taswa

0xf9de0aa5fe353ed945843db30ff7e895d3fbbab9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $122.01
Realized PnL: $110.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.08
Potential profit: $149.08
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $31.41
Potential payout: $64.1
Potential profit: $32.69
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$18.2

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $32.86
Potential payout: $52.16
Potential profit: $19.3
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$8.14

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $41.14
Potential payout: $41.45
Potential profit: $0.31
User PnL: $17.14

No position

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.87
Potential profit: $35.87
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.88
Potential profit: $30.88
User PnL: -$21

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16.6
Potential payout: $16.6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.04
Potential profit: $13.04
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.79

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.89

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Yes position

Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

Yes position

Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

Knicks position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 Six Nations championship?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

No 96.4% 16.6 shares
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Yes 94% 17.58 shares
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 77.4% 64.1 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Yes 97% 25.97 shares
Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Yes 78.6% 52.16 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Yes 92.4% 25.98 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

No 94% 24.47 shares
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Yes 91% 17.58 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 57.9% 41.45 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 97.4% 38.4 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 90.6% 21.57 shares
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

No 98.9% 18.73 shares