Polymarket Trader

Tolkien

0xf9e5d0a5ebb786ef57fb386795d5af5e8bf95493

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.87
Realized PnL: $145.77
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$5

Magic position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Train Dreams - Train Dreams win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Red Sox position

Red Sox vs. Yankees

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.57
Potential profit: $161.57
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117
Potential profit: $117
User PnL: -$7.63

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.67
Potential profit: $116.67
User PnL: -$2

Rams position

Rams vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.94
Potential profit: $93.94
User PnL: -$12

Bears position

Rams vs. Bears

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.36
Potential profit: $86.36
User PnL: -$31

Dodgers position

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.44
Potential profit: $82.44
User PnL: -$7.49

Yes position

Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $11.87
Potential payout: $70.01
Potential profit: $58.14
Multiplier: 5.90x
User PnL: $9.76

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$1

Rockets position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.53
Potential profit: $48.53
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$1

Pimblett position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$8

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$1

Dodgers position

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.52
Potential profit: $33.52
User PnL: -$7

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$10

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3.4

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.01
Potential profit: $25.01
User PnL: -$1

Cavaliers position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Thunder

Ends May 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

OMalley position

UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.54

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.71

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Swanson position

Swanson vs. Quarantillo

Ends Dec 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.04

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Warriors

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

Patriots position

Texans vs. Patriots

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.26

Red Sox position

Red Sox vs. Yankees

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

Orioles position

Orioles vs. Red Sox

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Red Sox position

Red Sox vs. Yankees

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

Carlos Ulberg position

UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Raoni Barcelos position

UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99

Charles Jourdain position

UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Chiefs position

Ravens vs. Chiefs

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Rams position

Rams vs. Bears

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Warriors position

Rockets vs. Warriors

Ends May 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Rakhmonov position

Rakhmonov vs. Garry

Ends Dec 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

76ers position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yadong position

UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.11

Bears position

Bears vs. Lions

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Rockets

Ends May 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 48% 20 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

No 29% 10 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 6% 16.67 shares
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Yes 3% 15 shares
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Yes 3% 66.2 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Thunder 4% 25 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 1% 100 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 6% 16.67 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 16% 39.99 shares
Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Cavaliers 8.8% 11.36 shares
Thunder vs. Spurs

Thunder 4% 25 shares