Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $856.29
- Potential profit
- $851.58
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$45.29
Polymarket Trader
im3x8a7io4al
0xf9fa39083e1c10c91bc2482d9fe4f75ef6c7222b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $77.5
- Realized PnL
- $4.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $16.66
- Potential payout
- $206.98
- Potential profit
- $190.31
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$33.34
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $17.26
- Potential payout
- $181.64
- Potential profit
- $164.39
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$32.74
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $34.46
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $100.68
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$15.54
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $112.72
- Potential profit
- $110.63
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
No position
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368.43
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.85
Passion UA position
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.54
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.82
AS Monaco FC position
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.63
Strickland position
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.42
Sharks position
Sharks vs. Bruins
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.03
Kings position
Spread: Kings (-2.5)
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.05
Pelicans position
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.09
Under position
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.31
Spurs position
Celtics vs. Spurs
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.99
Grizzlies position
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.9
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.8
No position
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.99
Yes position
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.43
T1 position
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.54
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-In
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.55
Mavericks position
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.24
Pelicans position
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.34
Under position
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 3.1 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes 37% 135.14 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes 27.5% 181.64 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 82.9% 36.32 shares
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 90.8% 75.72 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 51% 227.31 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No 76% 3.33 shares
- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 90% 5.57 shares
- Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No 99.9% 11.5 shares
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No 99.9% 13.35 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 99.9% 9.35 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 67% 62.32 shares