Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $12.25
- Potential payout
- $237.87
- Potential profit
- $225.62
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Polymarket Trader
0xF9Fd9F23fea3bFfA9F7c4b1a77276a1ea08Eb084-1781664441885
0xf9fd9f23fea3bffa9f7c4b1a77276a1ea08eb084
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.72
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $9.33
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $57.33
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $9.81
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $9.06
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $3.96
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $1.29
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $9.72
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $4.66
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?
Ends Dec 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?Yes 90% 2.22 shares
- Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?Yes 89% 11.24 shares
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 72% 13.89 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes 52% 9.62 shares
- Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 53% 18.87 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No 15% 66.67 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 89% 11.24 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 4.2% 237.87 shares