Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $182.73
- Potential payout
- $891.37
- Potential profit
- $708.64
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$17.27
Polymarket Trader
Palla
@FractalsX
0xfa03addf75e514cdfba3c97c5d2edb3679ae3d8a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $220.5
- Realized PnL
- $197.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91.75
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.05
- Multiplier
- 10.05x
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.51
- Potential profit
- $62.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.2%
- Current value
- $19.57
- Potential payout
- $44.32
- Potential profit
- $24.75
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$3.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.45
- Potential profit
- $28.45
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.83
- Potential profit
- $8.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $8.47
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.76
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.17
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
Royal Challengers Bangalore position
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.19
No position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $10.68
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.77
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.85x
- User PnL
- $5.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Jito be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 5% 579.14 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 51.9% 44.32 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 22.9% 90.38 shares
- Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 5.2% 579.14 shares
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes 22.4% 891.37 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 81% 281.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 71% 281.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 55% 158.73 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 63% 158.73 shares
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Yes 1.4% 1,004.15 shares
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Yes 1.9% 523.9 shares
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Yes 2% 250.25 shares