Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $14.43
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Polymarket Trader
0xfa2535F7703b25C2531FE623D37814b4CA4708CF-1775678484227
0xfa2535f7703b25c2531fe623d37814b4ca4708cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.82
- Realized PnL
- $54.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $11.32
- Potential profit
- $9.91
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $9.84
- Potential profit
- $9.81
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.47
Yes position
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.73
- Potential profit
- $8.73
- User PnL
- -$7.68
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.42
- Potential profit
- $8.42
- User PnL
- -$7.48
No position
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $6.48
- Potential payout
- $6.61
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.01
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- User PnL
- -$5.34
No position
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $5.35
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
No position
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keynote?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 13.5m?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "Corner" 15+ times during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?Yes 85% 15.79 shares
- Will White House post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 85% 15.18 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?Yes 91% 17.48 shares
- Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No 93% 5.35 shares
- Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No 92% 6.61 shares
- Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No 90% 8.31 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?Yes 91.7% 8.16 shares
- Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No 86% 13.17 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?No 87% 16.29 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?No 90.1% 13.38 shares
- Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?No 86% 12.35 shares
- Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 88% 8.73 shares