Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $104.27
- Potential payout
- $560
- Potential profit
- $455.73
- Multiplier
- 5.37x
- User PnL
- -$7.73
Polymarket Trader
geopolitics-pro
0xfa26477bc05528c0a780d2bf24e6a9811a6b100c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $171.47
- Realized PnL
- $20.1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $550
- User PnL
- -$104.5
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.2%
- Current value
- $67.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $32.8
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$120
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?Yes 78.4% 73.88 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Yes 20% 560 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes 19% 550 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 96.7% 300 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 50% 300 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 15% 1,200 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 25% 1,200 shares