Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $80.36
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.49K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$419.64
Polymarket Trader
dilution
0xfa2a9ffc9953cce115b8e855377822e201a5c1fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.39K
- Realized PnL
- $1.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Is Earth flat?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $44.1
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$4.7
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $219.06
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $61.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $75.6
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $996.52
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $944.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $55.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $999.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $9.5
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $896.97
- Potential payout
- $900.13
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $532.66
- Potential payout
- $559.23
- Potential profit
- $26.56
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.95
No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $487.98
- Potential payout
- $533.31
- Potential profit
- $45.33
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.93
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $388.97
- Potential payout
- $420.51
- Potential profit
- $31.54
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $391.87
- Potential payout
- $405.24
- Potential profit
- $13.37
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.88
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $143.22
- Potential payout
- $144.23
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $31.55
- Potential payout
- $31.71
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.56
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248.39
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.99
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.87
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Soundtrack in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.88
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.4
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.8
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $37.5
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $34
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $33.28
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.89
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.75
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.12
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.3
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 3,571.43 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 43.2% 1,157.41 shares
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.3% 2,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 98.7% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 98.7% 120 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 90% 3,199.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 99.6% 297.35 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 92.7% 500 shares
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?No 91% 266.66 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 92.8% 1,000 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 93.1% 19.31 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91% 250 shares