Polymarket Trader

0xFa2E35DFf31D5D208F688d6C19A0f3D91Ac4162c-1783200081561

0xfa2e35dff31d5d208f688d6c19a0f3d91ac4162c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $328.92
Realized PnL: -$1.27
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $5.55
Potential payout: $584.15
Potential profit: $578.6
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $14.46
Potential payout: $535.71
Potential profit: $521.25
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $28.13
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $346.88
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $36.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $213.75
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$3.75

Microsoft position

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $61
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $139
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $17.85
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $152.15
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $140
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.8

No position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $57.85
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $72.15
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $119.95
Potential profit: $118.57
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $27
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $73
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62.2%
Current value: $34.18
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $20.82
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $12.82
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $32.18
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $36.6
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.45
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

Yes 1.1% 270.61 shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

No 45% 115.5 shares
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Microsoft 31% 200 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 10% 30 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Yes 9% 40 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

No 55.7% 30 shares
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Yes 13% 160 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Yes 7% 100 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Yes 2.5% 23.69 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Yes 29% 45 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Yes 12% 170 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

Yes 1.6% 313.54 shares