Polymarket Trader

justF

@justgmx

0xfa310f2c7665cd3d30927f073bbd56a6dc217664

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $204.91
Realized PnL: $4.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.46
Potential payout: $3.64K
Potential profit: $3.63K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$95.23

Yes position

Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $783.33
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$10.4

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.97
Potential profit: $699.97
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $599.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.7

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.75

No position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $488.74
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $21.15
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $428.85
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $19.3
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.7
Multiplier: 5.18x
User PnL: -$30.7

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.7%
Current value: $80.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $19.3
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $30.7

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.95
Potential profit: $99.95
User PnL: -$2.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Warriors

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Hornets

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $694.92

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Hornets

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.46

Yes position

Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.45

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Lakers

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.22

No position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.04

Yes position

Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71

Yes position

Will Usyk beat Fury?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.27

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.09

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.69

Yes position

Will PSG beat Inter Milan in the first half?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.56

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Rockets

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.33

Oilers position

Oilers vs. Golden Knights

Ends May 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.33

No position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Mets position

NLDS: Mets vs. Phillies Game 4

Ends Oct 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.41

Stars position

Avalanche vs. Stars

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.87

Jets position

Blues vs. Jets

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.57

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.06

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.76

Mets position

NLDS: Mets vs. Phillies Game 3

Ends Oct 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Nuggets position

Clippers vs. Nuggets

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

No one announced as next James Bond?

No 2.1% 499.99 shares
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?

Yes 0.1% 3,000 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Yes 5% 500 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Yes 7% 200 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Yes 7% 200 shares
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Rico 7% 150 shares
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

Yes 1.1% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?

Yes 0.1% 699.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 16?

Yes 0.1% 500 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?

Yes 0.3% 400 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?

No 0.7% 300 shares
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?

Yes 2.7% 14.99 shares