Polymarket Trader

FridayNight

@FridayNtrades

0xfa323e40632edca701abc6c8cf1f82175909bd9a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.13K
Realized PnL: $110.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $3.55K
Potential payout: $202.71K
Potential profit: $199.16K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$453.06

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $375
Potential payout: $150K
Potential profit: $149.62K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.05K
Potential profit: $34.05K
User PnL: -$370.71

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.47K
Potential profit: $31.47K
User PnL: -$4.32K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $26.67K
Potential payout: $30.49K
Potential profit: $3.81K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.37K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.2K
Potential profit: $26.2K
User PnL: -$2.75K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $23.96K
Potential payout: $24K
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: $2.92K

Yes position

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $153.57
Potential payout: $16.16K
Potential profit: $16.01K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$153.36

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $112.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.89K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $37.5

No position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.2K
Potential profit: $14.2K
User PnL: -$11.05K

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.73K
Potential profit: $12.73K
User PnL: -$8.26K

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.05K
Potential profit: $12.05K
User PnL: -$1.67K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $11.97K
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: $322.02

Yes position

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $78
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $11.92K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $18

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $9.49K
Potential payout: $11.5K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $262.51

No position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.82K
Potential profit: $10.82K
User PnL: -$5.71K

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $8.77K
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$52.5

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.5K
User PnL: -$3.13K

No position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.98K
Potential profit: $8.98K
User PnL: -$440.68

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.8K
Potential profit: $8.8K
User PnL: -$1.93K

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.76K
Potential profit: $8.76K
User PnL: -$4.8K

No position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.58K
Potential profit: $8.58K
User PnL: -$4.98K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.02K
Potential profit: $8.02K
User PnL: -$723.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.66K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.54K

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.01K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.02K

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35K

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69K

No position

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19K

No position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07K

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86K

No position

Will Elon register the America Party in July?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75K

No position

Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75K

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Yes 22% 250 shares
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 2% 1,775.08 shares
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 14% 1,200 shares
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 14% 249.99 shares
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 14% 400 shares
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 14% 243.34 shares
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs

Colorado Rockies 35% 200 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 85% 1,200 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 50% 1,200 shares
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Yes 36% 200 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 44% 800 shares
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Hurricanes 99% 808.08 shares