Polymarket Trader

0xFA39Dc56189a5e09dfCe16eFe8541B77423C1F40-1764085587194

0xfa39dc56189a5e09dfce16efe8541b77423c1f40

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $38.46
Realized PnL: -$155.96
Win rate: 17.4%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $19.95
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $190.05
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$13.65

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $11.52
Potential payout: $192
Potential profit: $180.48
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$15.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$3.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $6.99
Potential payout: $39.93
Potential profit: $32.94
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $2.99

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.98
Potential profit: $29.98
User PnL: -$1.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.28

Raiders position

Chiefs vs. Raiders

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.2

No position

Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.49

No position

Will Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.01

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.18

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.75

Saints position

Saints vs. Falcons

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.8

Cowboys position

Cowboys vs. Giants

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.98

No position

GPT ads by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.12

Under position

Dolphins vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.6

Bears position

Spread: Bears (-3.5)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.2

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$64

Colts position

Colts vs. Texans

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$71.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Down 1% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Up 14% 20 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 0.7% 430 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 3.7% 140 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 16% 110 shares
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Yes 79% 31.94 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Yes 12% 208 shares
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?

No 51.2% 40 shares
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 7.4% 54.23 shares
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 7% 71.43 shares
Will Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

No 41% 10 shares