Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $362.96
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $248.85
Polymarket Trader
AmandaMoore2890
0xfa3f9b9ab59fbaaabc73f7c95b5198289d4f6e13
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- $3.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $372.18
Yes position
Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.06
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.05
Over position
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.84
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 6AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282
South Florida Bulls position
Georgia College & State Bobcats vs. South Florida Bulls
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.32
Yes position
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.6
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.6
No position
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.18
Yes position
Will Mike Sweeney - Conan O'Brien Must Go win Best Director of a Reality / Quiz & Game at the 78th DGA Awards?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.1
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks position
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $86.7
No position
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $75.88
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.87
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.81
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.31
Yes position
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $64.08
Yes position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $60.89
Yes position
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.56
No position
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.01
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 12AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.35
Yes position
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.44
Yes position
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.52
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.58
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tiger" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 66% 894 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 68% 894 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?No 72% 459 shares
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?No 72% 741 shares
- Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?No 77% 185 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?No 68% 459 shares
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins 49% 695 shares
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?No 85% 741 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No 71% 334 shares
- Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?No 77.7% 458 shares
- Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?No 77.7% 739 shares
- Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?No 77.7% 57 shares