Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
or.atarim
0xfa4244226c00b558a3a54764fcb450569170023e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.33
- Realized PnL
- $850.76
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $692.51
- Potential profit
- $692.51
- User PnL
- -$7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $275
- User PnL
- -$19.37
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $4.01
- Potential payout
- $243
- Potential profit
- $238.99
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.65
- Potential profit
- $227.65
- User PnL
- -$64.19
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $214.07
- Potential profit
- $213.75
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $7.32
- Potential payout
- $197.89
- Potential profit
- $190.57
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$28.68
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.25
- Potential profit
- $181.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $9.71
- Potential payout
- $176.47
- Potential profit
- $166.76
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$20.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.5
- Potential profit
- $162.5
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $149.99
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.51
- Potential profit
- $130.51
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $7.97
- Potential payout
- $128.6
- Potential profit
- $120.63
- Multiplier
- 16.13x
- User PnL
- -$42.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.48
- Potential profit
- $115.48
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.5
- Potential profit
- $112.5
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.67
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown 5% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown 5% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETUp 5% 20 shares
- XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp 5% 20 shares
- XRP Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp 5% 20 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp 5% 20 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp 5% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown 5% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown 5% 20 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETDown 5% 20 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 17% 176.47 shares
- Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETUp 61% 1.58 shares